|
HEPATOLOGY, October 1998, p. 921-925, Vol. 28, No.
4
Original Articles
Risk of Liver and
Other Types of Cancer in Patients With Cirrhosis: A
Nationwide Cohort Study in Denmark
Henrik Toft Sørensen1,
Søren Friis2, Jørgen H. Olsen2,
Ane Marie Thulstrup3, Lene Mellemkjær2,
Martha Linet4, Dimitrios Trichopoulos5,
Hendrik Vilstrup1, and Jørn Olsen3
From the 1
Department of Medicine V, Aarhus University Hospital,
Aarhus, Denmark; 2 The Danish Cancer
Society, Division for Cancer Epidemiology, Copenhagen,
Denmark; 3 The Danish Epidemiology Science
Centre at the Department of Epidemiology and Social
Medicine, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark; 4
National Cancer Institute, Radiation Epidemiology
Branch, Rockville, MD; and 5 Department of
Epidemiology and the Harvard Center for Cancer
Prevention, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston,
MA
ABSTRACT
Cancer risk in patients with cirrhosis could be
modified by factors such as changes in hormonal
levels, impaired metabolism of carcinogens, or
alteration of immunological status. We investigated
the risk of liver and various forms of cancer in
patients with cirrhosis in a follow-up study. We
identified 11,605 1-year survivors of cirrhosis from
the files of the Danish National Registry of Patients
(NRP) from 1977 to 1989. Occurrence of cancer through
1993 was determined by linkage to the Danish Cancer
Registry. For comparison, the expected number of
cancer cases was estimated from national age-, sex-,
and site-specific incidence rates. Overall, 1,447
cancers were diagnosed among the study subjects, as
compared with 708.1 expected, to yield a standardized
incidence ratio (SIR) of 2.0 (95% CI: 1.9 to 2.2). In
all diagnostic subgroups of cirrhosis, the risk of
primary liver cancer, mainly hepatocellular carcinoma,
was markedly elevated, with 245 observed cases and an
overall 36-fold elevated risk (59.9-fold elevated for
hepatocellular carcinoma and 10-fold for
cholangiocarcinoma). Substantial and persistent
excesses during follow-up were seen for all types of
cancer associated with tobacco and alcohol habits
(cancer of the lung, larynx, buccal cavity, pharynx,
pancreas, urinary bladder, and kidney), while moderate
excesses were seen for cancers of the colon and
breast. The latter, however, were not complemented by
any decrease in the risk of prostate cancer (SIR: 1.0;
95% CI: 0.7 to 1.3). A slightly increased risk was
seen for testis cancer, but disappeared after 10
years. We found evidence of an increased risk for
liver and several extrahepatic cancers in patients
with cirrhosis. Although part of this increase is
likely attributable to alcohol and tobacco
consumption, our study opens up the possibility that
cirrhosis plays a role in the carcinogenesis of types
of cancer other than liver cancer. (HEPATOLOGY
1998;28:921-925.)
INTRODUCTION
The incidence of liver cancer varies from 100 in
100,000 per year in certain parts of Africa and Asia
to less than 4 in 100,000 per year in most parts of
Europe and North America.1 The incidence of
various forms of cirrhosis in Denmark varies from 9
per million person-years for primary biliary cirrhosis
to 137 per million person-years for alcoholic
cirrhosis.2 In general, the incidences of
liver cancer and cirrhosis follow similar patterns of
variation, because these two diseases share etiologic
factors. Important causes of liver cancer are alcohol
and hepatitis B and C viruses,3-11 which
likely act indirectly through cirrhosis.3
Whether cirrhosis is a risk factor for cancer at
sites other than the liver has not been well
investigated, except for patients with primary biliary
cirrhosis. 7,11-14 Changes in the
metabolism of carcinogens or hormones could, however,
affect cancer risk. It is known that cirrhosis induces
changes in estrogen metabolism,15 and male
patients with cirrhosis have hyperestrogenism, which
may lead to gynecomastia and testis atrophy. Recent
studies in women indicate that cirrhosis is associated
with menstrual irregularity, increased frequency of
spontaneous abortion, and early menopause.16
Moreover, the liver plays a central role in the
metabolism of lipid and water-soluble drugs and other
chemicals, and patients with cirrhosis have also been
reported to experience alterations in immune functions
and risk of infections.17
To examine the risk of liver cancer and
extrahepatic cancers in patients with cirrhosis, we
conducted a cohort study using nationwide registries.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
The Danish National Registry of Patients (NRP)
contains information on virtually all hospital
admissions in Denmark (population: 5.2 million) since
1977.18 Each admission record includes the
personal identification number that is unique to every
Danish resident, dates of admission, dates of
discharge, and up to 20 discharge diagnoses. Diagnoses
are classified according to the Danish version of the
International Classification of Diseases, 8th edition
(ICD-8).19 Persons were enrolled in the
study if they had been discharged with alcoholic
cirrhosis (ICD-8 = 571.09), primary biliary cirrhosis
(571.90), nonspecified cirrhosis (571.92), chronic
hepatitis (571.93), or "other types of cirrhosis,
alcoholism not indicated" (571.99) at least once
during the years 1977 to 1989. Cirrhosis was
considered as a whole, but also as four separate
types, largely following the ICD-8 codes given above,
except that nonspecified cirrhosis and cirrhosis,
alcoholism not indicated, were merged into one group
termed "nonspecified cirrhosis" (571.92 and
571.99). If a patient had been discharged with more
than one cirrhosis diagnosis, a prioritized order of
diagnoses determined to which group the patient was
assigned: 1) alcoholic, 2) primary biliary cirrhosis,
3) chronic hepatitis, and 4) nonspecified cirrhosis.
Accordingly, those persons with alcoholic cirrhosis
entered this category independently of whether they
had any other cirrhosis diagnosis. Furthermore,
cirrhosis patients with a diagnosis of alcoholism
(ICD-8 = 303) at any time from 1977 to 1989 were
always referred to as the alcoholic group, no matter
which cirrhosis code was registered.
All members of the study cohort were linked through
their personal identification number to the nationwide
Danish Cancer Registry, which was initiated in 1943
and which has an almost complete coverage of incident
cancers in the country.20 The Cancer
Registry receives notifications of malignant and
related diseases from hospital departments at the time
of diagnosis, and if changes in the initial diagnosis
occur. In addition, reports are received from
pathology departments and departments of forensic
medicine, giving the results of autopsies of cancer
patients. Also, cases first diagnosed at autopsy,
i.e., as an incidental finding, are included in the
Registry's material. This information is supplemented
by a review of the files of the NRP and of all death
certificates. Cancers were classified according to the
modified Danish version of the International
Classification of Diseases, 7th revision (ICD-7)20
and since January 1, 1978, also according to the
International Classification of Diseases for Oncology
(ICD-O).20 For liver cancers, the latter
classification includes a subgrouping of cases
according to tumor morphology, i.e., hepatocellular
carcinomas, cholangiocarcinomas, mixed
hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinomas and
hemangiosarcomas. Liver cancers without specification
for morphological type were only included in the
site-specific cancer analysis if they were explicitly
notified as "primary liver cancer."
The follow-up period for cancer occurrence began at
the date of discharge with cirrhosis from the
hospital, irrespective of type, and ended at the date
of death or December 31, 1993, whichever came first.
Dates of death were obtained through linkage with the
nationwide Cause of Death Registry.
Statistics. The number of cancer
cases observed among study subjects was compared with
the number of cases expected on the basis of rates
from the Danish Cancer Registry, and the standardized
incidence ratio (SIR) was calculated as the ratio of
the observed to the expected number of cancer cases.
The expected number of cancers was calculated by
multiplying the number of person-years of study
subjects by the site- and morphology-specific national
incidence rates of each sex in 5-year age groups and
calendar periods of observation. The statistical
methods used assumed that the observed number of cases
in any specific category followed a Poisson
distribution. Tests of significance and confidence
interval for the SIR were calculated based on Byar's
approximation; exact confidence limits were used if
the observed number of cancers was less than 10.21
To avoid selection bias that might have been
introduced by the entry of study subjects with
cirrhosis and concurrent cancer, we computed risk
estimates for cancer excluding observed and expected
cancers during the first year of follow-up after
discharge from the hospital for cirrhosis. Of the
18,358 patients with cirrhosis notified to the NRP,
6,753 (37%) died within the first year of follow-up,
leaving 11,605 for cancer risk analysis.
RESULTS
Table 1 shows characteristics of the 11,605 patients
with cirrhosis included in the risk analysis. In both
sexes combined, alcoholic cirrhosis was the most
frequent specific subtype in Denmark (62%), followed
by cirrhosis from chronic hepatitis (15%), and primary
biliary cirrhosis (3%). In 21% of cases, the origin of
cirrhosis remained nonspecified. There were more men
than women among patients with alcoholic cirrhosis,
whereas more women than men had primary biliary
cirrhosis and cirrhosis from chronic hepatitis.
| table 1.
Descriptive Characteristics of 11,605 1-Year Survivors With
Cirrhosis in Denmark, 1977-1989 |
|
| Characteristics |
Type of
Cirrhosis
|
Alcoholic
|
Primary Biliary
|
Chronic
Hepatitis
|
Nonspecified
|
| Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
Men |
Women |
|
| No. of patients |
5,079 |
2,086 |
57 |
263 |
712 |
978 |
1,210 |
1,220 |
| Person-years at risk |
28,801 |
12,508 |
374 |
1,777 |
5,466 |
7,494 |
6,666 |
7,208 |
| Average age at discharge with cirrhosis (yr) |
51.8 |
52.5 |
57.9 |
60.5 |
43.4 |
55.1 |
57.5 |
61.7 |
| Mean follow-up time (yr) |
5.7 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
|
Over the entire follow-up period, 1,447 cancers
were diagnosed; 708.1 were expected in the combined
cohort, which yields an SIR of 2.0 (95% CI: 1.9-2.2) . The risk for liver cancer was exceptionally
high, with 245 observed cases against 6.8 expected
(SIR: 36; 95% CI: 32-41). The excess risk was most
pronounced for hepatocellular carcinoma. Significant
excesses were seen for cancer related to tobacco, and
alcohol habits and for cancer of the stomach (SIR:
1.9; n = 40) and colon (SIR: 1.5; n = 82); this
pattern was evident in both sexes combined as well as
separately . A slight increase in risk was observed for
hormone-related cancers, in particular breast cancer
in women and testis cancer in men. The number of
observed prostate cancers was as expected. There were
20% more cases of nonmelanoma skin cancer than
expected, which was exclusively a result of an excess
among women, whereas there was a reduction in the
number of malignant melanomas and of cancers of the
brain/nervous system.
| table 2.
Observed and Expected Numbers and SIR of Cancer in
11,605 Patients With Cirrhosis |
|
| Cancer Site |
Both Sexes
|
Men
|
Women
|
| Observed |
Expected |
SIR |
95% CI |
Observed |
SIR |
Observed |
SIR |
|
| All malignant neoplasms |
1,447 |
708.1 |
2.0 |
1.9-2.2 |
896 |
2.2* |
551 |
1.8* |
| Liver (primary) |
245 |
6.8 |
36.0 |
31.6-40.8 |
182 |
40.2* |
63 |
27.8* |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma |
199 |
3.3 |
59.9 |
51.8-68.8 |
152 |
59.5* |
47 |
97.8* |
| Cholangiocarcinoma |
21 |
2.1 |
10.0 |
6.2-15.2 |
13 |
11.4* |
8 |
8.3* |
| Other and unspecified
morphologies |
25 |
1.4 |
18.3 |
11.8-27.0 |
17 |
20.6* |
8 |
14.8* |
| Tobacco-related sites, total |
356 |
188.6 |
1.9 |
1.7-2.1 |
244 |
1.8* |
112 |
2.2* |
| Lung |
207 |
102.5 |
2.0 |
1.8-2.3 |
143 |
1.9* |
64 |
2.5* |
| Urinary bladder |
62 |
45.8 |
1.4 |
1.0-1.7 |
47 |
1.3 |
15 |
1.7 |
| Kidney |
45 |
20.1 |
2.2 |
1.6-3.0 |
27 |
2.1* |
18 |
2.5* |
| Pancreas |
42 |
20.1 |
2.1 |
1.5-2.8 |
27 |
2.4* |
15 |
1.7 |
Alcohol-related sites, total |
241 |
31.3 |
7.7 |
6.8-8.7 |
173 |
7.0* |
68 |
10.5* |
| Buccal cavity and pharynx |
143 |
15.5 |
9.2 |
7.8-10.8 |
96 |
8.1* |
47 |
12.9* |
| Esophagus |
54 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
5.6-9.8 |
41 |
7.4* |
13 |
7.7* |
| Larynx |
44 |
8.5 |
5.2 |
3.8-6.9 |
36 |
4.9* |
8 |
7.1* |
| Hormone-related sites, total |
151 |
135.4 |
1.1 |
0.9-1.3 |
42 |
1.0 |
109 |
1.2* |
| Breast |
83 |
63.7 |
1.3 |
1.0-1.6 |
2 |
3.2 |
81 |
1.3* |
| Endometrium |
14 |
16.5 |
0.9 |
0.5-1.4 |
 |
 |
14 |
0.9 |
| Ovary |
14 |
13.7 |
1.0 |
0.6-1.7 |
 |
 |
14 |
1.0 |
| Prostate |
40 |
41.6 |
1.0 |
0.7-1.3 |
40 |
1.0 |
 |
 |
Other sites, total |
454 |
346.0 |
1.3 |
1.2-1.4 |
255 |
2.0* |
199 |
1.3* |
| Stomach |
40 |
21.3 |
1.9 |
1.3-2.6 |
28 |
2.0* |
12 |
1.7 |
| Colon |
82 |
55.4 |
1.5 |
1.2-1.8 |
42 |
1.5* |
40 |
1.5* |
| Rectum |
40 |
32.4 |
1.2 |
0.9-1.7 |
23 |
1.1 |
17 |
1.5 |
| Gallbladder and biliary tract |
8 |
6.0 |
1.3 |
0.6-2.6 |
3 |
1.3 |
5 |
1.4 |
| Cervix uteri |
11 |
10.4 |
1.1 |
0.5-1.9 |
 |
 |
11 |
1.1 |
| Testis |
8 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.0-4.5 |
8 |
2.3 |
 |
 |
| Melanoma |
8 |
15.2 |
0.5 |
0.2-1.0 |
2 |
0.3* |
6 |
0.8 |
| Nonmelanoma skin |
120 |
100.0 |
1.2 |
1.0-1.4 |
62 |
1.0 |
58 |
1.4* |
| Brain and nervous system |
9 |
17.2 |
0.5 |
0.2-1.0 |
5 |
0.5 |
4 |
0.6 |
| Thyroid |
4 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
0.5-4.6 |
3 |
3.4 |
1 |
0.7 |
| Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma |
19 |
14.9 |
1.3 |
0.8-2.0 |
12 |
1.4 |
7 |
1.2 |
| Leukemia |
20 |
15.8 |
1.3 |
0.8-2.0 |
13 |
1.3 |
7 |
1.3 |
|
NOTE. First years of follow-up excluded.
*
P < .05.
Liver not included; sites also
influenced by tobacco.
Not all sites shown. |
The risk for liver cancer was most pronounced
during early follow-up (1-4 years; SIR: 42.8; 95% CI:
36.1-50) compared with late follow-up, though it
remained high (10+ years; SIR: 28.8; 95% CI:
19.6-40.9) (data not shown). The excess risks for
tobacco- and alcohol-related cancers, kidney, breast
and colon cancer, also persisted during late
follow-up, but excesses of testis and stomach cancer
were not present after 10 years.
Table 3 shows that the SIR for all cancers combined was
increased in all types of cirrhosis, though only
slightly in patients with primary biliary cirrhosis.
The SIR of liver cancer was markedly increased in all
subcohorts, ranging from 44.8 (alcoholic cirrhosis) to
18.5 (primary biliary cirrhosis). The cancer pattern
was quite similar in alcoholic cirrhosis, chronic
hepatitis, and nonspecified cirrhosis, with elevated
risks of tobacco- and alcohol-related cancers,
testicular cancer, stomach cancer, and colon cancer.
An exception was the risk of breast cancer, which was
increased only in alcoholic and nonspecified
cirrhosis. Although the small size of the subcohort of
primary biliary cirrhosis reduced the ability to
detect risk deviations, there seemed to be a somewhat
different cancer pattern among these patients; apart
from liver cancer, only cancer of the colon was seen
in an excess that reached a significant level
| table 3.
Observed and Expected Numbers and SIR of Selected Cancer Sites in
Different Types of Cirrhosis |
|
| Cancer Site |
Alcoholic
|
Primary Biliary
|
Chronic
Hepatitis
|
Nonspecified
|
| Observed |
SIR |
95% CI |
Observed |
SIR |
95% CI |
Observed |
SIR |
95% CI |
Observed |
SIR |
95% CI |
|
| All malignant neoplasms |
877 |
2.2 |
2.1-2.4 |
36 |
1.4 |
1.0-1.9 |
187 |
1.7 |
1.4-1.9 |
347 |
2.0 |
1.8-2.2 |
| Liver (primary) |
173 |
44.8 |
38.4-52.0 |
4 |
18.5 |
5.0-48.0 |
23 |
23.1 |
14.6-35.0 |
45 |
26.0 |
19.0-35.0 |
| Hepatocellular carcinoma |
142 |
70.6 |
59.5-83.2 |
4 |
47.0 |
12.6-120.2 |
18 |
42.7 |
25.2-67.3 |
35 |
43.4 |
30.3-60.4 |
| Cholangiocarcinoma |
17 |
15.3 |
8.9-24.5 |
0 |
 |
 |
0 |
 |
 |
4 |
7.2 |
1.9-18.3 |
| Other and unspecified morphology |
14 |
19.0 |
10.4-31.8 |
0 |
 |
 |
5 |
23.0 |
7.4-53.8 |
6 |
16.6 |
6.0-36.0 |
| Tobacco-related sites |
210 |
1.8 |
1.6-2.1 |
8 |
1.5 |
0.7-3.0 |
42 |
1.7 |
1.2-2.3 |
96 |
2.2 |
1.8-2.7 |
| Lung |
135 |
2.1 |
1.8-2.5 |
1 |
0.4 |
0.0-2.0 |
19 |
1.5 |
0.9-2.4 |
52 |
2.3 |
1.7-3.0 |
| Urinary bladder |
32 |
1.1 |
0.8-1.6 |
3 |
2.8 |
0.6-8.1 |
9 |
1.6 |
0.7-3.1 |
18 |
1.7 |
1.0-2.6 |
| Kidney |
26 |
2.2 |
1.5-3.3 |
2 |
3.0 |
0.3-10.7 |
8 |
2.7 |
1.1-5.3 |
9 |
1.8 |
0.8-3.5 |
| Pancreas |
17 |
1.6 |
0.9-2.6 |
2 |
2.6 |
0.3-9.5 |
6 |
1.8 |
0.7-3.9 |
17 |
3.1 |
1.8-5.0 |
| Alcohol-related sites |
193 |
9.6 |
8.3-11.0 |
1 |
1.4 |
0.0-7.6 |
13 |
3.5 |
1.9-6.0 |
34 |
5.1 |
3.5-7.1 |
| Buccal cavity and pharynx |
115 |
11.6 |
9.6-14.0 |
0 |
 |
 |
8 |
4.2 |
1.8-8.2 |
20 |
6.0 |
3.6-9.2 |
| Esophagus |
40 |
9.0 |
6.4-12.3 |
1 |
5.4 |
0.1-30 |
1 |
1.1 |
0.0-6.1 |
12 |
7.2 |
3.7-12.5 |
| Larynx |
38 |
6.5 |
4.6-9.0 |
0 |
 |
 |
4 |
4.7 |
1.3-11.9 |
2 |
1.2 |
0.1-4.3 |
| Hormone-related sites* |
81 |
1.3 |
1.0-1.6 |
5 |
0.7 |
0.2-1.7 |
20 |
0.8 |
0.5-1.2 |
45 |
1.4 |
1.0-1.8 |
| Breast |
44 |
1.6 |
1.2-2.2 |
4 |
0.9 |
0.3-2.4 |
11 |
0.7 |
0.4-1.3 |
24 |
1.4 |
0.9-2.1 |
| Other sites, total* |
220 |
1.1 |
1.0-1.3 |
18 |
1.5 |
0.9-2.3 |
89 |
1.6 |
1.3-2.0 |
127 |
1.4 |
1.2-1.7 |
| Stomach |
16 |
1.4 |
0.8-2.2 |
1 |
1.6 |
0.0-8.6 |
10 |
3.2 |
1.5-5.8 |
13 |
2.3 |
1.2-3.9 |
| Colon |
43 |
1.5 |
1.1-2.1 |
6 |
2.7 |
1.0-5.8 |
15 |
1.5 |
0.9-2.5 |
18 |
1.2 |
0.7-1.8 |
| Nonmelanoma |
60 |
1.1 |
0.8-1.4 |
2 |
0.6 |
0.1-2.0 |
25 |
1.6 |
1.0-2.3 |
33 |
1.3 |
0.9-1.8 |
| Testis |
5 |
2.2 |
0.8-5.1 |
0 |
 |
 |
2 |
2.7 |
0.0-9.9 |
1 |
2.2 |
0.0-12.4 |
|
NOTE. First year of follow-up
excluded.
* Not all sites shown. |
DISCUSSION
The study confirmed that patients with cirrhosis
have a considerably increased risk of primary liver
cancer, mainly hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective
of the specific underlying cause of the cirrhosis. Our
finding of a higher risk of liver cancer in alcoholic
cirrhosis than in any other type of cirrhosis may
suggest either a direct effect of alcohol on liver
carcinogenesis or induction of a more severe type of
cirrhosis carrying a higher risk of liver cancer, or
both.
There is a strong association between alcohol
intake, elevated liver enzymes, and smoking habits in
the Danish population,22 and the markedly
increased risks for tobacco-related cancer sites found
in all cirrhosis patients except primary biliary
cirrhosis were probably caused by excessive use of
tobacco products. The increased risks of cancer of the
stomach and large bowel may be more difficult to
explain by confounding, although stomach cancer has
recently been included in the group of tobacco-related
cancers.23 Alcohol consumption has been
associated with an increased risk of rectal cancer, 24,25
and Naveau et al.26 studied the effects of
alcoholism and cirrhosis and found that alcoholics
were three times more likely than nonalcoholics to
have colon adenomatous polyps, controlling for
cirrhosis. The same study showed that the prevalence
of colon adenomatous polyps was over two times higher
in patients with cirrhosis than in those without
cirrhosis, after controlling for alcoholism. A
meta-analysis based on 27 studies showed that for
consumption of two alcoholic beverages daily, the
average, relative risk of colorectal cancer was 1.1
(95% CI: 1.05-1.14).27 However, because the
association was small, it was concluded that the
findings regarding a causal role of alcohol were
inconclusive.
The increased risk of breast cancer observed in
patients with alcoholic and nonspecified cirrhosis,
but not in chronic hepatitis, indicates that the
excess is to some degree related to alcohol intake.28
Most patients with clinical cirrhosis have increased
endogenous estrogen levels, 29,30 but the
moderate size of the breast cancer finding, and the
absence of an association with chronic hepatitis,
suggests that these hormonal changes have very little
effect on breast cancer risk. This is in line with the
observation of no excess of prostate cancer. It has
been hypothesized for this male type of cancer that
cirrhosis patients have a reduced risk, again because
of the disturbances in female hormones.31-33
However, the overall increased risk of testis cancers
could be a result of the induced estrogen exposure.29
In contrast to other types of cirrhosis, less is
known about the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in
primary biliary cirrhosis. The previous studies of
patients with primary biliary cirrhosis have given
conflicting cancer findings. 3,7,9,11-14,34,35
An increased risk of liver cancer has been reported in
some studies, 9,11 but not in others. 3,12,35
We found a statistically significant increase in the
risk of liver cancer, higher than in a recent large
population-based study from Sweden that reported a
nonsignificant relative risk of 2.9.7
However, our estimate relied on only four cases. We
could not confirm the previously reported excess risk
for the development of breast cancer in patients with
primary biliary cirrhosis. 12,13,33
A limitation of our study is the lack of
information on diagnostic criteria and potential
confounding factors. A previous study indicated high
data validity of the cirrhosis diagnosis in the NRP,
but some misclassification between the different types
of cirrhosis probably exists, particularly between
alcoholic and nonspecified cirrhosis.36
Therefore, we also searched for diagnoses of
alcoholism in the NRP for those not registered with
alcoholic cirrhosis to reduce this misclassification.
The subcohorts of chronic hepatitis and nonspecified
cirrhosis are likely to include an overrepresentation
of alcoholic patients relative to the general
population as indicated by the increased risk for
other alcohol-related cancers; however, these groups
do not contain the same proportion of alcoholic
patients as the subgroup of alcoholic cirrhosis.
Misclassification of alcoholic cirrhosis may bias
estimates across the different types of cirrhosis. The
sex ratio and follow-up time in patients with chronic
hepatitis and primary biliary cirrhosis indicate,
however, that misclassification must be of minor
importance in these groups. Denmark is a
very-low-incidence area for infectious hepatitis A, B,
and C,37 and patients with autoimmune
hepatitis account for a high proportion of the
patients in the chronic hepatitis group. In the Danish
population, approximately 100 cases of hepatitis A and
B are registered per year, and less than 80 are cases
of hepatitis C. The high frequency of hepatitis B
virus and hepatitis C virus infections among
individuals with alcoholic liver diseases and
alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma in some
countries has led to the suggestion that these viruses
may be implicated in the pathogenesis of
hepatocellular carcinoma.38 However, these
infections are rare in Denmark. A comprehensive
screening of blood donors in Denmark has shown a
prevalence of less than 0.04%,39 so it is
not likely that hepatitis infections play an important
role in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma
in the present study.
The clearest finding of the present study was the
excessive risk of liver cancer found in all cirrhosis
patients independent of the type of cirrhosis. Thus,
cirrhosis seems to be an essential step in the
induction of liver cancer. The hormonal and immune
changes in cirrhosis did not affect the incidence of
hormone cancers and cancers related to
immunosuppression to any considerable degree. The
elevated risk for breast cancer in alcoholic cirrhosis
could be caused by a direct effect of alcohol rather
than the elevated estrogen level. Cirrhosis patients
experienced risk increase for many other cancers, but
several are heavily influenced by alcohol and tobacco
use.
Footnotes
Acknowledgement: The authors thank Anne
Marie E. I. Larsen at the Division for Cancer
Epidemiology for computer assistance.
Abbreviations:NRP, National Registry of
Patients; ICD, International Classification of
Diseases; SIR, standardized incidence ratio.
Supported by the Oncologic Research Unit at Aalborg
Hospital, by the Ebba and Aksel Sjølin Foundation, by
research grant MAO N01-CP-85639-04 from the National
Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, and The Danish Medical
Research Council (grant 9700766). The activities of
the Danish Epidemiology Science Centre are financed by
a grant from the Danish National Research Foundation
Received January 8, 1998; accepted May 4, 1998.
Address reprint requests to: Dr. Henrik Toft Sørensen,
The Danish Epidemiology Science Centre at the
Department of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, Aarhus
University, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark. Fax:
45-86-13-15-80.
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