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“The only thing necessary for these diseases to the triumph is for good people and governments to do nothing.”

  Statistical Reports

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"The ASSA2000 model has been produced as a suite of several versions. The lite version, like the ASSA600 model before it, treats the population of the country as one population. The full version models each of the four population groups (Asian/Indian, black African, coloured and white) separately at a national level, and aggregates to produce results for the population as a whole. The provincial version is the result of the aggregation of the application of the full version of the model separately to each of the provinces. It thus allows for geographic differences in the spread of the epidemic. The ASSA AIDS Committee initially delayed the release of the provincial version pending the lifting of an embargo by the Department of Health on the release (to the Committee) of the more detailed results of the provincial antenatal surveys for 2000. When, after many months, the Department seemed no nearer releasing the results, despite having agreed to supply them to the Committee, the Committee decided that the demand for the provincial version necessitated that it be released despite the lack of cooperation from the Department. The urban-rural version allows for situations where there is significant migration between two groups with significantly different prevalence levels (e.g. urban and rural areas in some countries) in the population. This version is currently under development but will be released in the coming months.

This user's guide is intended for use with all four models. The differences between the lite and full versions will be noted in the text at relevant places. The approaches in the provincial and urban-rural versions are described in section 6. A fuller description of the urban-rural version as well as a note on how to go about fitting the model to a new country will be made available at the time of release.

As the course of the disease progresses and more information about it becomes available, the model structure and base scenario will be further updated and future versions of the model will be released." ASSA AIDS and Demographic Models


Document Name & Link to Document


File Size /Type**

1985-1999 AIDS report

Slide presentation

379 kb pdf

ASSA AIDS and Demographic Models

(Large report-increased download time)

AIDS projection model: Although some actuarial or demographic background will be helpful in understanding the intricacies of the model’s construction, the model is designed to be useful to actuaries and non-actuaries alike. Users who have no need to make changes to the model and its assumptions, for example those who only want to use the output, may want to skip the detail in sections 3 and 5. Users who want to change the assumptions underlying the model must, however, read through this detail as their changes may otherwise have unintended effects.


BUDGETING FOR HIV/AIDS - Costing the ‘Indirect Impact’ on the Health Sector PowerPoint Presentation 139 kb
HIV and HCV: An Examination of Preventative Policies with Recommendations for Additional Efficacy This paper will firstly explore the nature of HIV and HCV. Secondly, the paper will evaluate the preventive strategies implemented by the Australian government to reduce the prevalence of HIV and HCV, and subsequently suggest several recommendations to increase the effectiveness of these strategies.  
HIV and Hepatitis C in non-MSM Rural Communities: Issues and Interventions Power Point presentation 219 kb

Grey Book: Federal OSHA-Bloodborne Pathogen Directive

Resource Primer

509 kb pdf

Report form for HIV exposure

For Law Enforcement employees-California

80 kb pdf


Report from the CDC

2,406 kb pdf


Report from the CDC

538 kb pdf

National HIV PREVALENCE SURVEY-1988-1996

Report from the CDC

749 kb pdf


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