“The only thing necessary for these diseases to the triumph is for good people and governments to do nothing.”
South Africa: Death by AIDS
Note: The information you see here is from the First
National Bank Economics website at: http://www.fnb.co.za/economics/
These graphs are from the Development Bank of South Africa and the Actuarial
Society of South Africa. It is very possible that these estimates are very
conservative and do not truly reflect how bad the true situation is.
Nevertheless, they still show the tremendous impact that HIV/AIDS is having
on South Africa.
In order to appreciate the true impact AIDS may have on South Africa, you
should also go to the analysis by Dr Jan Du Plessis, called: "South Africa:
Beyond Democracy" which is in the archive of the AfricanCrisis website. Dr
Du Plessis is a professional geostrategic analyst who produces reports for
businesses, etc. This is a report from him detailing how AIDS will become
the major force driving South Africa as the AIDS pandemic drives society at
all levels in a way not seen since the Black Death in Europe.
Here are the graphs from the Development Bank of South
Africa (DBSA) and the Actuarial Society (ASSA) of South Africa, and the
Department of Health:-
The graph below shows that by 2025, 18 million
South Africans will have died of AIDS.
It appears from these graphs as if AIDS will kill
more women by far than men.
This graph shows that children under 15 start declining
in numbers - from round about 2005
The graph below is very important. It shows that
from about 2006, South Africa's labour force won't be growing any
more… for a very long time… This will surely have a large economic
The graph below shows the number of AIDS orphans
in the province of KwaZulu/Natal (around Durban).
This graph indicates how less people will have
more and more dependants.